Notes

The Final Year Before Sale: Fix This, Leave That

T.J.October 5, 20269 min read

Most Founders Spend Their Last Year Fixing the Wrong Things

Twelve months out from a transaction, something predictable happens. The founder makes a list. The list is long. It contains every irritation he has tolerated for a decade, the CRM nobody uses properly, the warehouse layout, the underperforming regional manager he should have replaced in 2021, the brand refresh, the ERP migration he has been deferring since the pandemic.

He attacks the list. He works harder in that final year than he has in five. And when the LOI comes in, the number is roughly what it would have been if he had done nothing at all, only now he is exhausted, his team is unsettled, and three of the projects he started are half-finished and visible in diligence.

The hard truth is that the last year before a sale is not a renovation window. It is a presentation window. The business you are selling is largely the business you have already built. What changes in the final twelve months is not the asset. It is the clarity with which a buyer can see the asset, and the confidence he has that it will survive your departure.

That distinction governs everything that follows.

The Only Question That Matters: Does This Change the Buyer's Risk Model?

A buyer is not paying you for how good your business is. He is paying you for how certain he is about what it will produce after you are gone. Price is a function of expected cash flow divided by perceived risk. You cannot materially change expected cash flow in twelve months without taking on risk that will itself show up as a red flag. You can, however, change perceived risk substantially.

So every item on your fix-it list gets one test. Does resolving this measurably reduce a buyer's uncertainty about future performance? If yes, it earns your attention. If it is merely something that bothers you, it does not.

This is harder than it sounds, because the things that bother a founder are usually the things he is closest to. Operational inefficiencies feel enormous from the inside and are frequently invisible from the outside. Meanwhile, the structural risks that terrify an acquirer, customer concentration, undocumented process, key-person dependency, revenue that does not renew, are often the things a founder has stopped seeing because he has lived with them so long they feel like the weather.

You need an outside read on this. Not because you lack judgment, but because proximity distorts it. I have never met a founder who correctly ranked his own risk profile on the first attempt.

Fix: Key-Person Risk, and Fix It First

If you are the single point of failure in sales, in customer relationships, in pricing decisions, in technical judgment, or in any function that generates revenue, that is the highest-return repair available to you in the final year. It is also the one most founders defer, because it requires giving up the thing that makes them feel necessary.

The work is unglamorous. It means transferring the top twenty customer relationships to someone who will still be there in eighteen months, and doing it visibly, with the customer's acknowledgment. It means writing down how you price, the actual logic, including the exceptions and the gut calls. It means letting your second-in-command run the forecast meeting while you sit in the back and say nothing.

Buyers test for this. They will ask your management team questions in diligence and watch whether the answers route back to you. They will ask what happens if you are unavailable for ninety days. The answer should be boring. A boring answer to that question is worth a multiple point in some categories, and it is worth something in every category.

Start this the day you decide to sell. It takes longer than you think, and unlike most of your list, it cannot be accelerated with money.

Fix: Financial Legibility, Not Financial Performance

There is a meaningful difference between making the numbers better and making the numbers believable. In the last year, pursue the second.

A buyer's first serious act is to attempt to reconstruct your earnings from source. If that reconstruction is painful, if the chart of accounts has drifted, if personal expenses are threaded through the P&L in ways that require explanation, if revenue recognition is inconsistent across periods, if there is no reliable bridge between the tax returns and the management accounts, then every number you present becomes a negotiation rather than a fact.

I have watched deals lose seven figures of value not because the earnings were weak but because the earnings were unverifiable. The buyer does not discount what he disbelieves. He discounts what he cannot confirm, and the discount is proportional to the effort required.

Get a quality-of-earnings analysis done on your own behalf before anyone asks for one. Twelve months out is the right time. You will find things. Better that you find them, correct them, and have two clean quarters of corrected reporting in hand, than that a buyer's accountant finds them in week three of diligence and recalibrates his view of everything else you have told him.

This is also the moment to stop running discretionary expenses through the business. Not because the add-backs are illegitimate, most of them are defensible, but because each one is a small withdrawal from your credibility account, and you will want that account full when the real disagreements arrive.

Fix: Contract Hygiene and the Durability of Revenue

Revenue that renews is worth more than revenue that repeats out of habit. In the final year, the highest-leverage commercial work is converting the second kind into the first.

Look at your top customers. How many are under written agreement? How many of those agreements have assignment clauses that survive a change of control? How many have auto-renewal? How many were signed by someone who no longer works there? A handshake that has held for nine years is a wonderful thing in a relationship and a liability in a transaction, because the buyer cannot underwrite a handshake.

The same logic applies to your key employees. Non-solicits, non-competes where enforceable, and some form of retention structure for the three or four people whose departure would genuinely damage the business. A buyer is acquiring a team as much as a cash flow, and he needs to know the team is not free to walk out the door the week after close.

None of this is glamorous work. It is paperwork and conversations. But contract hygiene is among the few things you can genuinely improve in twelve months that shows up directly in both price and deal structure, specifically, in how much of your consideration is cash at close versus held back in escrow or tied to an earnout.

Leave: The Big System Migration, the Rebrand, the New Market

Do not start an ERP implementation in your final year. Do not rebrand. Do not enter a new geography or launch a new product line on the theory that it demonstrates growth potential.

The reasoning is straightforward. These initiatives take eighteen to thirty-six months to produce results and four to eight months to produce visible disruption. You will be in diligence during the disruption phase and gone before the results arrive. The buyer sees a business in the middle of a transition it has not yet proven it can execute, which is precisely the kind of uncertainty that depresses price.

There is a second reason, more subtle. A half-executed strategic initiative tells a buyer something about your judgment. It suggests either that you did not know the sale was coming, which calls your planning into question, or that you knew and started it anyway, which calls something else into question.

If the initiative is genuinely necessary for the business to survive, you do it and you delay the sale. If it is optional, you leave it. There is no useful middle position. Let the next owner have the growth story. He is buying optionality; you do not need to pre-spend it for him.

Leave: The Underperformer You Should Have Dealt With Years Ago

This one will be unpopular, and it requires nuance.

If you have a manager who is mediocre but stable, who holds relationships and institutional knowledge, and who has been in the seat for years, the final twelve months is usually the wrong time to remove him. Not because he deserves the seat, but because the disruption cost lands squarely in your presentation window and the benefit lands after close.

The exception is material. If the person is actively destroying value, creating legal exposure, or is the reason a key account is at risk, deal with it immediately regardless of timing. Risk that a buyer will discover is always worse than risk you resolve yourself.

But the merely-average performer whose existence irritates you? Leave him. Document the gap honestly in your management presentation, frame it as an identified improvement opportunity, and let the acquirer make the call. Buyers are not surprised that a founder-led business has a soft spot in the org chart. They are surprised, and concerned, when a management team gets reshuffled six months before a sale.

I understand the impulse. You want to hand over something clean. But stewardship in the final year means protecting continuity, not satisfying your own standards on your way out the door.

Leave: Your Own Need to Be Indispensable

The deepest work of the final year is not operational. It is the slow dismantling of the identity you built while constructing the business.

For fifteen years, being needed has been the evidence that you matter. Every emergency call, every decision that routed through you, every customer who asked for you by name, those were not burdens. They were proof. Now you are being asked to systematically eliminate that proof, and to do it on a deadline, and to feel good about it.

Most founders resist this unconsciously. They complete the delegation on paper and then undermine it in practice, taking the call anyway, overriding the decision quietly, remaining the gravity around which the business organizes. Buyers notice. It is one of the most common reasons a deal gets restructured toward an earnout: the acquirer does not believe the business runs without the founder, because in the last twelve months it visibly did not.

The discipline here is to let things be done imperfectly by other people, in public, while you are still in the building to catch anything serious. That is the only way the transfer becomes real. It is also, in my experience, the single most difficult thing a founder is asked to do in the entire process, more difficult than the negotiation, more difficult than the diligence, more difficult than signing.

The Discipline of the Short List

When you finish this exercise, your list should be short. Three to five items. If it has twenty, you have made a wish list rather than a plan, and you will execute none of them well.

The short list concentrates your remaining operator-time where it compounds. It also sends a signal to your team, who are far more perceptive about what is coming than most founders assume. A focused final year reads as intentional stewardship. A frantic one reads as panic, and panic is contagious in a way that will reach your buyer through channels you do not control.

Twelve months is enough time to make a business legible, durable, and transferable. It is not enough time to make it a different business. Accept that constraint early and you will spend the year well. Fight it and you will arrive at the closing table tired, holding a company that looks exactly as it would have anyway, having given up the last good year you had as its owner.

If you are approaching a transition and want a clear outside read on which items genuinely belong on your short list, you are welcome to schedule a private conversation at consulting.lionmaker.io.

A Private Conversation

If you're sitting with a question this article touched, schedule a private conversation.

Schedule
Written ByT.J.
Back to Notes